Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.537749 7.462289 8.482134 9.692419 11.091964 12.662352 14.561977
2025-06-29 5.221246 6.402025 7.808674 9.614738 11.881937 14.646533 18.292555
2025-07-06 4.405651 5.687085 7.300819 9.495352 12.422204 16.219492 21.564986
2025-07-13 3.988897 5.372428 7.196802 9.799910 13.453487 18.450136 25.888986
2025-07-20 3.641550 5.086123 7.067808 10.015416 14.340643 20.535846 30.227587
2025-07-27 3.409114 4.919736 7.067304 10.384594 15.454198 23.031194 35.441753
2025-08-03 3.053649 4.531884 6.698795 10.156934 15.631639 24.123857 38.606901
2025-08-10 2.776923 4.228846 6.418255 10.019666 15.911969 25.375943 42.143247
2025-08-17 2.542982 3.966025 6.168891 9.896015 16.184672 26.621481 45.790914
2025-08-24 2.333969 3.721367 5.921990 9.744505 16.382858 27.744852 49.337692
2025-08-31 2.143761 3.489068 5.671915 9.558016 16.492236 28.710926 52.695740
2025-09-07 2.080180 3.459271 5.750896 9.937854 17.626344 31.599531 59.993606
2025-09-14 1.968359 3.340219 5.671555 10.036820 18.274030 33.692346 66.079145
2025-09-21 1.840127 3.181779 5.509831 9.969840 18.603251 35.217448 71.227326
2025-09-28 1.716233 3.020415 5.328370 9.846613 18.807083 36.512288 76.055968
2025-10-05 1.666661 2.988655 5.377539 10.163477 19.904137 39.705463 85.388347
2025-10-12 1.607876 2.934664 5.380043 10.387667 20.834225 42.654991 94.589801
2025-10-19 1.573173 2.922719 5.459939 10.771754 22.133350 46.529580 106.471921
2025-10-26 1.466770 2.764962 5.245761 10.534895 22.084119 47.457551 111.476609
2025-11-02 1.379946 2.638954 5.084030 10.392089 22.223511 48.818269 117.728146
2025-11-09 1.301601 2.524018 4.935493 10.263456 22.379907 50.231780 124.310726
2025-11-16 1.226365 2.409963 4.780108 10.105848 22.453351 51.456250 130.576604
2025-11-23 1.153283 2.295231 4.614871 9.911863 22.422103 52.424051 136.296614